Exclusive: Support for a Voice to parliament has tumbled as debate over the preferred model appears to be increasing the risk of a referendum defeat.
Support for the Indigenous Voice has tumbled from 58 to 53 per cent over the past month in the crucial “yes or no” question that will decide a referendum on the issue later this year, deepening the risk of defeat after furious disputes on the change.
The survey, conducted for this masthead by Resolve Strategic, confirms a slide in support for the Voice that has continued for more than six months and puts the No campaign on track for a majority by August if there is no change to the trend across the published polls. Support for the reform fell from 64 per cent last September to 58 per cent earlier this year before sliding again to 53 per cent over the past month.
Reed said a key problem was that voters were not convinced by the model being put forward even if they supported the aspiration. He pointed to the recent decision by the Yes campaign toin its advertising rather than go into the details of the Voice.“Not being able to talk about the product or the problem it solves in your advertising only amplifies the perceived risk.”
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