MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) has upgraded its monitoring of oceanic temperatures to an El Niño Watch, which
In a statement issued on Friday, Pagasa said that the watch category in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation Alert and Warning System means that the probability of El Niño being declared is at 55 percent.
According to Pagasa, El Niño is characterized by unusually warmer than average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. As an effect, below-normal rains are expected, which can cause dry spells and droughts in several areas of the country.“Pagasa has been continuously monitoring the [ENSO] conditions in the tropical Pacific. The final La Niña advisory was issued last March 10, 2023 with ENSO – neutral conditions now present,” Pagasa said.
Pagasa, however, clarified that El Niño also increases the possibility of above-normal rainfall during the habagat or southwest monsoon phase of the year.
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