Thai inflation below forecast in Jan, seen slowing further

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Thai inflation below forecast in Jan, seen slowing further
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Thailand’s headline inflation cooled to its lowest rate in nine months and came in below analyst forecasts, helped by easing energy and food prices, with the commerce ministry predicting consumer prices will decline further this year. | Reuters

Still, the inflation rate remains above the central bank’s target range of 1 percent to 3 percent, suggesting the Bank of Thailand will raise its key interest rate further after hiking it at four consecutive meetings to try to bring prices back within target.

The core CPI index was up 3.04 percent in January from a year ago, versus a forecast rise of 3.10 percent. The BOT said earlier that a continuing gradual rate rise is an appropriate course for a policy consistent with growth and inflation. It will next review policy on March 29.Sharing a similar view, the commerce ministry is maintaining its forecast for headline inflation at 2 percent to 3 percent this year, having taken into account the upcoming elections and a rebound in tourism, Wichanun said.

The ministry predicts 22 million to 25 million foreign tourist arrivals this year, he said, adding higher tourist numbers would increase demand-side inflation.Your subscription could not be saved. Please try again.

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