Putin’s military reshuffle is more about politics than a change of strategy

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Putin’s military reshuffle is more about politics than a change of strategy
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The Russian president may have put Gen Gerasimov in charge of the invasion to balance tensions between the army and the Wagner group

Chief of the Russian general staff Gen Valery Gerasimov and defence minister Sergei Shoigu are believed to be at odds with the Wagner group’s Yevgeny Prigozhin.Chief of the Russian general staff Gen Valery Gerasimov and defence minister Sergei Shoigu are believed to be at odds with the Wagner group’s Yevgeny Prigozhin.

to put Gen Valery Gerasimov, the head of the armed forces, in charge of the invasion is eye-catching for other reasons too.. That raises the obvious question of whether there will be any change in strategy as the war grinds towards a dismal one-year mark.Photograph: APafter ordering the destruction of Aleppo from the air in 2016 to break rebel resistance, which led to the fall of the Syrian city later that year.

Interestingly, some of the Russian military bloggers most closely followed by western experts were notably cynical about the change. “The change of places does not change the sum of the parts,” said one. In any event, it is the Russian president who is overseeing the military strategy to a fairly close degree, and is engaged, western intelligence says, at brigade and even battalion-level decision-making. But, and this greatly helps Ukraine, experts say the Putin grand plan is often opaque or incomprehensible.

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