Japan will undertake its biggest arms buildup since World War Two in a race to deter Beijing from war in East Asia, according to Japanese government officials and security analysts. READ
Japan identified China as its chief adversary in its 2019 defense white paper, worried that Beijing’s flouting of international norms, pressure on Taiwan and rapid military modernization posed a serious security threat. That anxiety has intensified since Russia invaded Ukraine, weakening Japanese public opposition to rearming, security experts say.
“There are different shades of opinion, but generally, government officials share the same view of the significance of 2027,” said a senior Japanese government official involved in defense buildup plans. China could try to capture Japanese islands close to Taiwan to establish air defenses and fend off any counter attack, said another Japanese government official involved in planning, who also asked not to be named because he is not authorized to talk to the media.
“If Japan can strengthen its defense capability … then China’s calculation to attack US forces on Japan will be quite different, the cost and risk of a Taiwan operation will be quite high,” Mr. Matsuda said this month during an online discussion hosted by the Rand Corporation think tank.Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which it calls a “special operation,” has helped shift public opinion in Japan away from the postwar pacifism that has dominated defense policy for decades.
Big projects include a new jet fighter for deployment in the 2030s that will most likely be merged with Britain’s proposed Tempest stealth plane into a program led by MHI and BAE Systems. The splurge of defense spending should also benefit US suppliers such as Lockheed, Boeing Co., and Northrop Grumman Corp.
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