India will overtake China as the world's most populous country in the coming week, hitting almost 1.43 billion people, the United Nations said Monday. | ManilaBulletin
India will overtake China as the world's most populous country in the coming week, hitting almost 1.43 billion people, the United Nations said Monday.
India is topping China due to both rapid growth in its own population and a decline in China's after hitting 1.426 billion last year. China's fall is heavily tied to decades of maintaining a strict one-child policy for married couples, which ended in 2016. For India, which has taken much longer than China to get population growth under control, the fertility rate was 2.0 births per woman, just below the 2.1 replacement level.
A key reason for the difference was Beijing's one-child policy; another was India's lower human capital investment and slower economic growth during the 1970s and 1980s, according to the UN. "The precise timing of when this crossover occurs is not known for sure and it will never be known," he told reporters.Both countries must confront rapidly ageing populations, China more so than India.
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