How epidemics start and end: COVID-19 spread in PH analyzed

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How epidemics start and end: COVID-19 spread in PH analyzed
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Dr. Mary Grace Dacuma of the UP Pandemic Response Team has released findings from a recent study on how an epidemic happens and what an epidemic wave is.

People stand on designated spots to maintain social distancing at a market during a government-imposed enhanced quarantine as a preventive measure against the COVID-19 novel coronavirus in Manila on April 21, 2020.

“When the virus is transmitted locally to other people, there is an incubation period. For COVID-19, the incubation period can be on average 5.2 days up to 14 days. That is why you see a flat line after the introduction of the index case,” she explained. Dacuma attributed the ease of movement of people by plane, land transportation, or boat that made it very easy to spread the virus across the Philippines. “Hence, we have an epidemic meaning it has spread all over to many provinces and infecting thousands of people.”

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