The first Philippines-United States-Japan trilateral summit will take place in Washington DC this week. The summit statement is not expected to include commitments to trilateral cooperation on the Taiwan issue or any language that would upset China. The trilateral meetings have been encouraged by the recognition of the importance of multilateral meetings in the Indo-Pacific region.
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First, over the past two years, the importance of multilateral meetings in the Indo-Pacific region has been recognized. Minilateral is between multilateral and bilateral. It refers to a framework for dialogue and cooperation among three or more countries that share common issues and interests. The US-Japan-Australia-India “QUAD” is also a type of minilateral.
In recent years, India, which has advocated an Indo-Pacific strategy, has intensified individual dialogues with ASEAN countries, including the Philippines. Another example of a minilateral dialogue was thebetween the Philippines, Japan, and India held in Manila in March by the Japan Foundation and the Philippine think tank Stratbase ADR Institute for Strategic and International Studies . Such efforts are expected to increase in the future.
Third, it is very important to hold the first summit for institutionalization at this time. The three leaders should make a joint statement to ensure that cooperation will continue after the US presidential election in November 2024. Even in Japan, there is concern that the United States will focus on hard security topics, instigating the Taiwan Strait contingency and forcing the Philippines and Japan to make a tough decision. But do not worry. Contrary to popular belief, the dialogue among the Philippines, the US, and Japan is based on an extremely equal relationship.
Over the past two years, both the US government and think tanks like CSIS have learned from the statements of Philippine experts and flexibly adjusted their approach. In the latest, titled “Sustaining the U.S.-Philippines-Japan Triad,” released in mid-February this year, the description of Taiwan has been significantly more cautious. The areas of cooperation are mainly limited to information sharing, evacuation of residents, countering disinformation, among others. Limited.
Philippines United States Japan Trilateral Summit Washington DC Taiwan Issue China Multilateral Meetings Indo-Pacific Region
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