The Bureau of Meteorology says there is a 40 per cent chance a warm and dry El Niño pattern will immediately follow the current La Niña should it recede in autumn, putting farmers on edge.
abc.net.au/news/bom-forecasts-40-per-cent-chance-el-nino-august-drought-fears/101826780Farmers across Australia are anxiously watching long-term climate forecasts, with fears a hot and dry El Niño system could back up the current flood-inducing La Niña.
"I don't want to think about El Niño or another drought," Moree grain and beef producer Oscar Pearce said.Moree farmer Oscar Pearce hopes the forecast won't lead to the next drought.But BOM meteorologist Blair Trewin said while an El Niño system may mean drier or warmer than average conditions, it did not mean that drought was a certainty.
"It is a worrying sign as there are studies, including one that I was involved in, that show that with global warming the swings from one extreme weather system to another now happen much more quickly," Dr Santoso said.Keiley Noble owns a property at Narromine and said drought was "definitely in the air at the moment".
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