Danger of $4-T hole in world outlook seen haunting IMF - BusinessMirror

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Danger of $4-T hole in world outlook seen haunting IMF - BusinessMirror
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Global finance chiefs gather in Washington in the coming days with the warning of a possible $4 trillion loss in the world’s economic output ringing in their ears. Know more:

Global finance chiefs gather in Washington in the coming days with the warning of a possible $4-trillion loss in the world’s economic output ringing in their ears.

The current confluence of economic, climate and security crises makes it unlike anything global policy makers have seen since 1945. Yet certain elements, such as the emerging-market havoc wreaked by Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes in the early 1980s, chime with the present predicament. Economists estimate the CPI rose 8.1% in September from a year ago, marking a deceleration from the prior month’s 8.3% annual increase as energy prices settled back. However, excluding fuel and food, the so-called core CPI is still accelerating—it’s expected to show a 6.5 percent annual gain, versus 6.3 percent in August.

The week will be capped by retail sales data. Economists forecast a modest monthly advance in September, helped by a pickup in purchases of motor vehicles. Excluding cars, the value of retail sales is seen declining for a second month. Because the figures aren’t adjusted for inflation, the data suggest demand for merchandise slowed in the third quarter.Bank of Korea Governor Rhee Chang-yong may resort to a mini U-turn on the scale of rate hikes.

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