Defining the News
“The path to lasting peace and stability in these contested regions lies not in the wielding of crude weapons but in the steadfast pursuit of diplomacy”
Firstly, it blurs the lines of engagement, creating ambiguity that complicates the application of defense treaties like the 1951 mutual defense agreement between the United States and the Philippines. This nuance allows China to exert pressure and assert control while maintaining a veneer of restraint.While they may reduce the immediate risk of large-scale conflict, they also introduce a volatile element of unpredictability.A single incident—such as a sailor losing a finger, or worse, an unintended fatality—could rapidly spiral out of control, igniting the very conflict these tactics aim to avoid.
The shooting incident in 2020 along the India-China border is a stark reminder of how quickly these “weak guardrails” can collapse, leading to a breakdown of even the minimal agreements that currently hold.
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