Md Munir: “If we could provide accurate forecasts of meteorological droughts, it would allow the authorities and the public to plan and prepare for the dry conditions.'
A NEW method that is capable of accurately predicting droughts is now available.
“We combined the wavelet transform, the autoregressive integrated moving average , and the artificial neural network to create the hybrid model to accurately predict droughts,” he said in a press release. In conducting the study to test the W-2A model’s ability to accurately predict droughts, the team analysed 30 years’ worth of rainfall data collected from rainfall stations located around the Langat River Basin in Selangor from 1986 to 2016.
“If we could provide accurate forecasts of meteorological droughts, it would allow the authorities and the public to plan and prepare for the dry conditions,” he added. Wavelet is a way to analyse time series data and can be used to see how different variables change over time.
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