![[ANALYSIS] How did I ‘predict’ that Trump, despite his repulsive persona and politics, would prevail?](https://i.headtopics.com/images/2024/11/8/rapplerdotcom/analysis-how-did-i-predict-that-trump-despite-his-analysis-how-did-i-predict-that-trump-despite-his-6F54E2924ED821B9B87BA3099D22AA76.webp)
Opportunity and crisis are twins. You can’t get to the new world without overcoming monsters.
This is AI generated summarization, which may have errors. For context, always refer to the full article.INFONearly a month before the November 5 election, I predicted thatwould win and wrote about it in a couple of articles. My “prediction” created some controversy, especially since the polls showed Harris and Trump in a dead heat.
Then, especially since October 2023, there were very real fears about the United States being sucked into the expanding war in the Middle East, that the Biden administration had lost control of its Middle East policy to Israel, and that this was triggering domestic unrest that was brought to living rooms nightly by images of campus confrontations and massive and arrests.
This sense of no reliable hand at the helm of the ship of state could only deepen in the summer and fall, with Biden’s horrible debate performance and his replacement as presidential candidate by Harris. By early October, it was clear to me that Trump would win not so much because he had a more attractive vision for the future, but because he was able to capitalize on people’s fears about the economy, the border, and war and turn that unease into an active negative force against the Democrats.
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