China’s foreign policy, particularly in this region, often appears contradictory. But according to the former PM, it’s part of a broader but so far unsuccessful strategy.
Pressure and release. That’s China’s formula for dealing with Australia, and a range of other nations, according to Kevin Rudd, one of the West’s foremost experts on the ideology and strategy of President Xi Jinping.
In other words, the dangerous and unprofessional People’s Liberation Army provocations of the Australian Defence Force in international seas and skies will continue. Beijing might deign to accept Australian lobster but will not recognise Australia’s long-standing freedoms of navigation and overflight, even in international spaces.
Rudd says we shouldn’t be surprised or confused by the tactics of “pressure and release”, whether they’re applied alternately or simultaneously. “We sometimes think we are Robinson Crusoe in this; we are not. A whole bunch of other countries are going through exactly the same experience.” No US ally has abandoned its alliance under pressure from Beijing. On the contrary, Australia, Japan and South Korea have strengthened their US alliances. Among countries in territorial dispute with China, Beijing had some earlier success in cowing the Philippines’ former president, Rodrigo Duterte, into submission but under current president Bongbong Marcos, it is putting up a spirited resistance.
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