But historical odds are less than 10 percent.
A strong zone of high pressure over Greenland, also known as the Greenland block, is in place and steering storms farther south than they would track otherwise. The storm headed into the central states this week, because of the block, will slow, stall and try to redevelop off the East Coast.
While there won’t yet be enough cold air in place for substantial snow in the Washington-Baltimore area from this storm, some icy precipitation could develop Thursday morning, especially west of Interstate 95. Chances for accumulating snow will increase in northern Maryland and especially north of the Mason Dixon line.
By next week, cold air may become more firmly established as high pressure builds over the West Coast and as far north as the Gulf of Alaska. The presence of high pressure in these areas, absent in recent weeks, should help steer frigid air from the Arctic toward the central and eastern United States.
Next week’s weather pattern “does make me think the chances of snow are a little higher than normal,” wrote Wes Junker, winter weather expert for the Capital Weather Gang, in a text message. “The main thing that elevates our chances a bit is that our temps should average below normal leading up to Christmas and you need cold for snow.”Junker cautioned that the pattern, influenced by La Niña, may still prove less than perfect for snow lovers locally.
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