You know what ball we’re talking about
season will be whether George Springer would have caught the ball J.P. Crawford flared into centre to tie the game in the 8th inning had Bo Bichette not been there.
To try and get a better sense for the specific chances, I searched Baseball Savant for all similar fly balls hit in 2022 with a more granular screen based on three limitations. First, hits within within three degrees of dead centre . Second ball, the projected distance between 225 and 250 feet . Third, launch angles between 36 and 40 degrees, within two of the 38 degree launch angle.
Here’s the thing though — Statcast has that ball’s distance at 250 feet, the very upper extent of the range. The ball yesterday was recorded at 234, and if there were 16 more feet to cover Springer gets to that ball Ramon Urias hit. Slicing the data into more granular bins really shows this. 20 balls were hit with estimated distances of more than 240 feet . There were only 6 hits.
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