Timing is everything in Peabody’s pursuit of Coronado

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Timing is everything in Peabody’s pursuit of Coronado
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War in Ukraine has inverted the normal coal price hierarchy, making it a good time for a thermal coal miner to forge a $9.2b merger with a coking coal miner

US miner Peabody has kicked plenty of tyres in the Australian coal sector in the past couple of years, but might have found the perfect moment to rope Coronado Global Resources into a $9.2 billion, pan-Pacific merger.

The Curragh mine in Queensland could become part of Peabody Energy if a combination with Coronado were agreed.The geographic alignment of Peabody and Coronado’s portfolios belie a difference in product mix, which has made 2022 the perfect time for a mostly thermal coal miner like Peabody to bid for a predominantly coking coal miner like Coronado.

But war in Ukraine and the subsequent blacklisting of Russian fossil fuels has distorted the traditional hierarchy of coal prices making those digging thermal coal for power generation the new kings.over the past year that he believed the domestically-focused US thermal coal industry was in “secular decline” and he wanted to buy more coal mines that sell “seaborne” coal, a comment that was code for Australian mines that sell to Asia.

Coking coal miners have done well, but not quite as well. Hard coking coal from Queensland was fetching $US283.50 per tonne on October 11 according to SThat inversion of the traditional coal price hierarchy has created an opportune moment for a business like Peabody, which made close to 80 per cent of its revenue from thermal coal in each of the past two years.

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