Switzerland is now flirting with deflation, causing a dilemma for its central bank

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Switzerland is now flirting with deflation, causing a dilemma for its central bank
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Switzerland could be at risk of slipping into deflationary territory next year as a stronger Swiss franc dogs policymakers' efforts to get a handle on prices.

Switzerland could be at risk of slipping into deflationary territory next year as a stronger Swiss franc beleaguers policymakers' efforts to get a handle on price growth.

The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates for the third time this year in September, citing the strength of the safe-haven currency as a key driver of the country's falling inflation rate, alongside lower oil and electricity prices. the forecasts remained "within the range of price stability." He added that policymakers remain poised to adjust monetary policy further to get a handle on inflation.

Foreign exchange interventions take place when a bank buys or sells its currency in the FX market to raise or lower its value against another currency. Such measures can reduce price distortions, which can impact inflation, particularly in trade-heavy economies. Capital Economics said in a note last week that it now sees inflation in Switzerland falling to 0.3% in 2025, down from its previous estimate of 0.8%, due to the strength of the franc and lower oil and housing costs. That figure could turn negative in certain months, Prettejohn noted Monday.

"Once the policy rate tool is exhausted, then you will typically see the SNB intervening in the FX market if more easing is needed," Botteron told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" last month.

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