Avi Benlolo: Biden's potential Saudi-Israel peace deal is really about China
The Saudis, for their part, are smartly leveraging the United States to further their own national interests, demanding security guarantees and assistance developing a nuclear power program.The Biden administration distanced itself from Saudi Arabia following the Jamal Khashoggi assassination. Since then, the Saudis have raised eyebrows in Washington by cozying up to China.
A deal with Saudi Arabia would allow Washington to ensure Riyadh continues to be an ally in the region, but in order for that to happen the Saudis need to be seen to be advancing the Palestinian cause, at least on paper. The Palestinians have always been used by the Saudis as a Trojan horse to leverage military hardware and other support from the U.S., and this is no exception.Article content
Given the state of affairs in the Palestinian Authority, including disunity between Gaza and Ramallah, and increasing terrorist activity in places like Jenin, none of the parties to this potential agreement — Israel, Saudi Arabia or the U.S. — have all that much interest in seeing the formation of a Palestinian state at the present time. It’s obvious that the Palestinian Authority has lost the confidence of its own population and, more significantly, of the international community.
Israel wants to normalize ties with the Saudis, as well, but probably not at any price. Even with American pressure, the current government is unlikely to compromise on the Palestinian question. In the last six months, terrorist attacks against Israelis have skyrocketed. This has hardened Israel’s position vis-a-vis any rapprochement with the Palestinian Authority.
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