Even more concerning than the growing size of the invading Russian forces is their increased competence.
Already a subscriber?The last US aid bill for Ukraine was approved in December 2022 when Democrats still controlled both houses of Congress. The Biden administration has been requesting another aid package, with growing urgency, since last August.Republican-controlled House finally approved on Saturday
Fears have been growing that a Russian offensive, reportedly planned for June, could break through Ukraine’s depleted front lines. Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, toldthis week that his forces were being outgunned 10 to 1 in artillery shells, making it impossible to “hold our ground.”CIA Director William J. Burns warned last week that Ukraine could “lose” the war by the end of the year without US aid.
Even more concerning than the growing size of the Russian forces is their increased competence. We should not imagine that the Russian army of today is the same one that couldn’t keep its tanks and trucks fuelled during the initial invasion. As Cavoli noted, “The Russian military in the past year has shown an accelerating ability to learn and adapt to battlefield challenges both tactically and technologically.
Yet fewer Ukrainians have been willing to enlist than in the heady early days of the war. That’s hardly surprising, given that potential recruits know they could be sent indefinitely to the front without adequate ammunition, leadership or training. Ukraine desperately needs more soldiers to hold the lines and to allow those already at the front to rotate back to the rear.
Volodymyr Zelensky said, “We will have a chance for victory”, after the aid package finally passed the House.The United States and its allies also need to dig deep – and take some short-term risks with their own defence requirements if necessary – to send more of the Patriot batteries that the Ukrainians are desperately requesting to protect against Russian airstrikes.
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