The author of a 2005 report warning how climate change would affect the Rideau Canal Skateway looks back at how his predictions have mostly come true.
A closed section of the Rideau Canal Skateway Jan. 5. Skaters still await the opening date nearly six weeks later.The professor and research chair at the University of Waterloo was tasked by the National Capital Commission in 2005 to prepare a report on the long-term implications of climate change on the commission's tourism and recreational activities.
According to a detailed analysis commissioned by the NCC in 2021, the average season length is now around 46 days."Looking back I think our projections were pretty reasonable," said Scott. "We may have underestimated change and we've seen that happen in other areas of climate change impact work." "As the climate continues to warm, further reductions are expected. In the 2050s, the Skateway is projected to be open between 20 and 49 days.
"Hopefully this isn't the future of the [skateway] and we hope they return to years where they have 40-plus days open for you all to use the canal," he said. "But yes, this is a glimpse in the longer-term future for sure."While Scott 's prediction is based on data from 2005, the NCC now has more data to confirm the impact of climate change on the skateway season.
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