This extraordinary weather has defined 2022 – but what can Australians expect next year?
This year has had it all: record-breaking heat in Western Australia, and heavy rains and flooding across the east coast. For many locations across the country where river beds were cracked and dry three years ago, they are now flowing with brown floodwater after weeks of heavy rainfall. Some cities recorded their wettest year on record, while others experienced their coldest summer temperature in more than 100 years.
What makes 2022 particularly interesting is it was the first year on record that Australia experienced three consecutive La Ninas and back-to-back negative IOD events. This year, the NSW SES responded to 80,032 requests for assistance and conducted 3812 flood rescues. The areas that required the most assistance were Forbes, south Lismore and Wee Waa. NSW SES Commissioner Carlene York said this year had been the busiest on record for the agency.
If you think this summer has been particularly cold, you’d be right. Melbourne recorded its coldest December day since 2019 last week. But the good news is that these three climate drivers have already weakened, or are set to do so in the coming year.It’s still too early to tell what next year holds. Weatherzone meteorologist Tom Hough said models show the SAM and IOD weather patterns trending towards warmer temperatures and drier conditions. The El Nino–Southern Oscillation models also show a slightly positive phase of El Nino that will begin in the new year, which will mean warmer conditions return to the east coast.
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