Randall Denley: Ontario appears to be in the dark over its real power needs

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Randall Denley: Ontario appears to be in the dark over its real power needs
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The province’s ultimate goal remains decarbonisation of the electricity network, but the government’s latest moves acknowledge that having the power is more…

Smith was reacting to an alarming new report from the IESO, which warned that without more generating capacity “emergency actions such as conservation appeals and rotating blackouts” would be necessary to stabilize the grid.

The job of the IESO is to track long-term power demand and recommend the required supply mix, and yet the province has apparently been caught so short that it has to stop the decommissioning of a nuclear plant and rush new gas plants into service. That doesn’t build confidence. Some blame the apparent dilemma on the PC government’s cancellation of wind and solar projects back in 2019. Would dotting the province with even more unsightly wind and solar projects have saved us? Not really. The IESO estimated the projects would provide 99 MW of capacity at peak, less than 0.5 per cent of installed grid capacity.

In reality, the IESO’s recommendation for more gas-fired power amounts to better safe than sorry. Ontario’s natural gas power plants are grossly underused, providing 28 per cent of generating capacity but only 8.6 per cent of power generated. At the same time, they are operating as intended, boosting power supply only at peak hours.

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