Few will shed tears for Prigozhin. He was a brutal monster who thought nothing of having his own soldiers murdered by sledgehammer, or having them sent in human waves to die on the battlefield.
Perhaps one of the most profound surprises, at least for Russian politics, was the Prigozhin mutiny of June this year. Yevgeny Prigozhin, leader of the private military company the Wagner Group, led athat saw his troops advance to within 300 kilometres of Moscow. The main casualties of the day were from the Russian Air Force, which lost multiple helicopters and other aircraft. More than 30 airmen were killed.
The crash has set off another round of guessing among pundits and Russia experts about who is to blame and what might be the impacts of Prigozhin’s spectacular death. But ultimately, the cause of the crash is irrelevant. Most will assume Putin is to blame, and he has most to gain from the death of Prigozhin and his most senior confederates. Putin’s enemies rarely die of natural causes. Normally poison, windows or planes are involved.
Prigozhin’s death also finalises any argument about control of the Russian military by Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu and chief of the general staff Valery Gerasimov. These two, who have been ridiculed on Russian social media for their performance during the war in Ukraine, were central targets ofbefore and during his mutiny. Prigozhin’s death ensures there will be no more dissent about Shoigu’s mid-2022 directive to bring Russian private military companies under military control.
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