Prime Picks: UFCVegas65 ‘Lewis vs. Spivak’ via jaypettry
on Saturday pops back to the UFC Apex in Las Vegas for one final pre-Thanksgiving show before hitting the road in early December. An obvious step down in notoriety and acclaim from the pay-per-view spectacle that was UFC 280, the promotion’s latest effort brings with it a surprisingly evenly matched billing from a betting perspective, as only three matches on the lineup show odds of -200 or above.
The safest bets in this match may not be of one specific victor but rather that the fight ends before the final bell. However, the specific pick of any stoppage materializing is too high at -675, and even the under of 3.5 rounds—meaning the match concludes by 2:30 of Round 4—is a whopping -460. Safe is not always rewarding; it cannot be understated that Lewis will always hold the trump card of fight-ending power, and his UFC record of 13 knockouts is not an accident.
The upside of picking Nzechukwu is that more often than not on the big stage Cutelaba makes some kind of mistake that allows his opponent to capitalize. A sub-.500 record inside the Octagon is littered with examples of “The Hulk” smashing until he slips on a proverbial banana peel. From there, it’s a wrap. The cardio should firmly be in favor of the “African Savage,” a man who does not mind pulling off finishes after dragging his foe to deep water or simply surviving when his rival slows.
In terms of sheer size, Cortes-Acosta measures larger than most opponents that stand across from him in the cage. Sherman will be within an inch of the height and roughly the same in the arms, although Cortes-Acosta’s frame should appear notably larger. What comes with the extra weight on his body adds more stopping power, or at least stunning power, that can disrupt the active Sherman should he get his bell rung early and often.
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