The text explores various scenarios regarding the future of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's leadership, including the possibility of a non-confidence vote and the role of the Governor General.
Canada 's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the Laurier Club holiday party in Gatineau, Quebec, Canada , Dec 16, 2024. (PHOTO: REUTERS/Patrick Doyle)Here are some potential ways forward for Canada :Unlike Britain, where party leaders are chosen by the parliamentary caucus and can be removed quickly, the Liberal leader is selected by a special convention of members. There is therefore no formal party mechanism to remove Trudeau if he wants to stay.
That said, if members of his own cabinet and a large number of legislators call for him to go, he may conclude his position is untenable.Canadian governments must show they have the confidence of the House of Commons elected chamber. Votes on budgets and other spending are considered confidence measures and if a government loses one, it falls. In virtually all cases, an election campaign starts immediately. Additionally, the government must allocate a few days each session to opposition parties when they can unveil motions on any matter, including non-confidence. If all parties vote against the Liberals, Trudeau will fall. If one opposition party abstains, he will stay in power. The House of Commons closes for the winter break on Tuesday and does not return until Jan. 27. This suggests the earliest a confidence vote could be held is in late February or March since it would likely take weeks for the opposition to propose their own motion.Ultimate constitutional power in Canada lies with Governor General Mary Simon, who is the personal representative of King Charles, the head of state. She can in theory remove Trudeau but in real life this would not happen. 'The governor general won't dismiss a prime minister who still holds the confidence of the Commons,' said Philippe Lagasse, a professor and constitutional expert at Ottawa's Carleton University.Trudeau's Liberals have a minority of seats in the House and therefore rely on the support of other parties on a vote-by-vote basis to gover
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