After the Wagner rebellion, Putin’s rivals are likely eyeing his throne
had to be sent to Rostov-on-Don to confront Mr. Prigozhin’s mercenaries. But, in time, it will become clear that none of this reflects the Putin regime’s strength.
Worse, far from crushing the mutiny, let alone having Mr. Prigozhin eliminated, he let Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenkoa deal that effectively lets Mr. Prigozhin off the hook: the Wagner boss will now decamp to Belarus, and criminal charges against him will be dropped. To some Russians, the deal makes Mr. Putin look pathetically weak, as it seems to have been presented to him as aMr.
At the same time, it seems likely that Mr. Prigozhin does have some Russian leaders on his side. For example, he may have an arrangement with General Aleksei Dyumin, the governor of the Tula region, next to Rostov-on-Don. Some in Moscow believe that Mr. Dyumin – who used to be in charge of Mr. Putin’s security, and at one point was considered one of his potential successors – negotiated with Mr. Lukasheno on Mr.
More ominous for Mr. Putin, Mr. Prigozhin’s rebellion could well have been assisted, and even organized, by forces close to the Kremlin or by members of Russia’s domestic security agency, the FSB, who blame Mr. Putin for allowing the Ukraine war to drag on. Even if this is not the case, the fact that Mr. Prigozhin publicly defied Mr. Putin so flagrantly, and lived to tell the tale, could inspire new attempts to overthrow Russia’s top leadership.
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