Ontario, B.C., Quebec will see growth fall in 2023 amid housing downturn: BMO

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Ontario, B.C., Quebec will see growth fall in 2023 amid housing downturn: BMO
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While the 3 most populous provinces face real GDP contractions, the others are expected to see more moderate slowdowns in economic growth From alicjawithaj

Several provinces are facing the risk of a recession next year, according to a BMO Capital Markets economist.

Economic growth in Canada is expected to slow to zero in 2023 following 3.2 per cent growth this year, BMO Capital Markets senior economist Robert Kavcic wrote in a research note this week, “with the risk of a downturn most acute around the turn of the year.” Canada's three most populous provinces are expected to see real GDP contract this year, as a slowdown in the housing market weighs on growth.

Kavcic said Ontario's economic growth, which is expected to slow to 2.9 per cent this year, will contract 0.4 per cent in 2023. While the job market in Ontario has been strong, Kavcic said "momentum looks to be fading." Quebec is also expected to see real GDP contract by 0.1 per cent in 2023, down from growth of 3.4 per cent in 2022, which Kavcic said is "consistent with a broad weakening across the country."

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