Stocks Analysis by Michael Kramer covering: USD/JPY, NVIDIA Corporation, US Dollar Index Futures. Read Michael Kramer's latest article on Investing.com
Where would this market be without Nvidia? Likely much lower. The IV for $130 calls for this week’s expiration is now up to 125%, and that figure could rise even more by the time the market closes today at 4 PM ET.
Also notable is how analysts consistently raise their sales estimates above the company’s guidance. For the February quarter, Nvidia guided to $16 billion, analysts estimated $16.09 billion, and the company delivered $18.1 billion. Analysts have now estimated $31.9 billion for the November quarter, effectively following the pattern. However, if Nvidia only guides to $32 billion, it might not be enough, as this has already been priced in.
A $1 billion beat on the top line paired with an inline guide could trigger a less-than-favorable reaction in a market where the stock is trading at 21 times its next twelve months’ revenue estimates., with the USD/JPY now testing that big support level at 143. A break of technical support at $143 sets up a potential decline back to the August 5 lows.
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