Progressive shift in upper house possible while vote for minor parties and independents reaches record levels in election more definitive than expected
The New South Wales state election result was a resounding defeat for the Liberal-Nationalgovernment, and a clear victory for Labor. Yet this victory occurred in an environment of an increasing minor party and independent vote, and the largest crossbench in modern NSW history.
That extra boost in support was crucial to Labor’s victory. Despite a large two-party-preferred margin, Labor looks set to win a narrow majority. The party is currently leading in 49 out of 93 seats, while narrowly trailing in eight others. That extra 2% made the difference between a Labor minority government and a Labor majority.
There was a lot of hype about independent challenges in the wake of the teal wave at the federal election. At the moment an independent has gained the seat of Wakehurst and independents are still in the hunt in the seats of Pittwater, Willoughby and Wollondilly. The three former members of the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers, now independents, running in western NSW were re-elected with enlarged majorities.
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