The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has updated its outlook for the rest of the Atlantic hurricane season. The earlier projection of 12 to 17 named storms has now increased to 14 to 21 storms.
A satellite image of Hurricane Fiona as raced towards Atlantic Canada on Sept. 23, 2022.
Forecasters on Thursday increased the likelihood of an above-normal season to 60 per cent, which is up from a 30 per cent chance in the outlook the agency issued in May.Of those storms, six to 11 could become hurricanes. Of those, two to five may become major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or greater.It's important to remember that these outlooks are for overall season activity, not storms that make landfall.
While El Niño has developed, its impacts on the tropical region are now looking less likely to counterbalance the other major factor of this season — warm ocean temperatures.over the past few months.Sea-surface temperatures in the North Atlantic have been well above average since the early spring and have been on record-crushing pace since June.
While the largest sea-surface temperature anomalies are currently around Atlantic Canada and Greenland, the tropical Atlantic and main storm development region is also running well above average.
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