The main event for the early days on Capitol Hill is the question of who will lead the Republicans in the House
The first days of a new Congress ordinarily take the form of a winter festival – warm feelings throughout the legislative chambers, congratulatory hugs in the cozy confines of the Senate and House of Representatives, festive family celebrations on the floor, all in a peculiar Washington extension of holiday good cheer.
The 534 lawmakers who will flock into the Capitol to begin legislative proceedings will do so amid enormous political tension, unresolved leadership questions, a split in power between the Democratic-controlled Senate and the Republican-controlled House, the prospect of a bumper harvest of subpoenas against Democrats and members of’s administration – and with memories, and tensions, growing out of the rebellion on Jan. 6, 2021, still fresh.
For months leading to the midterm congressional election, the assumption was that Rep. Kevin McCarthy of California was poised to be the next Speaker of the House following a titanic “red wave” of Republicans into the chamber. The result: the party’s dirty laundry has been on public view at a time when the party’s priorities should have been developed and displayed.
There are two other possible outcomes. One would be for Mr. McCarthy to resort to the fine print of the House rules, which require a majority of those members voting and not a majority of elected members; in this back-door path to the speakership, he would have to persuade some of his most loyal supporters to abstain so that he could win a majority of a smaller universe of voters.
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