Labor has gained ground in every state and staged a dramatic advance in the key battleground of Queensland.
Voters have cemented their support for Labor in a powerful trend that has lifted the party’s primary vote to 40 per cent nationwide and given it a clear lead against the Coalition in the five biggest states.
The quarterly analysis of the Resolve Political Monitor, conducted exclusively for this masthead, is based on responses from 4608 voters over three surveys from October to December. The Coalition has suffered a severe setback at a national level and in every state, with its primary vote falling from 36 per cent at the election to 31 per cent in the quarterly analysis.
But the Coalition has suffered a fall in primary vote in Western Australia from 35 per cent at the election to 30 per cent in the quarterly analysis. The survey periods included the October 25 federal budget and its forecasts for higher energy prices, the passage of government laws to overhaul industrial relations and establish the federal anti-corruption commission, the report into former prime minister Scott Morrison’s multiple ministries and the censure motion against him.
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