If Vladimir Putin acts on his nuclear threats, which parts of Ukraine might be hit first? What would the U.S. and NATO do next? And other key questions
Foundation; IISS; Missile Defense Advocacy AllianceRussia has about 1,900 nonstrategic nukes in its arsenal, far more than the United States’ 230, according to the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.Both the United States and Russia used the SALT and START arms-control treaties, starting in the late 1960s, to reduce their nuclear arsenals and limit or stop the launch of new nuclear programs.
The Russians, alarmed by the new generation of long-range U.S. cruise missiles, which would allow “contactless warfare” – the ability to fight wars without committing ground troops – slowed their elimination of tactical nukes. “The Russians knew they were conventionally inferior, so they knew they had to rely on nuclear weapons,” Mr. Alberque said. “They were not as confident on their ability to wage war with long-range, high-tech weapons.
Speculation in the West varies greatly. Some believe that Mr. Putin would use a “demonstration” strike in a non-populated area, perhaps over the Black Sea, to show his resolve to win the war, or at least not lose it, by any means possible, or to intimidate Ukraine and its allies into starting peace negotiations that would allow Russia to keep some or all of the Ukrainian territory it has taken.
How would NATO, or its member countries, respond if Russia were to hit Ukraine with a nuclear weapon of any size?
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