As the relationship between baseball and weather has become more closely scrutinized and better understood, bettors and fantasy sports enthusiasts now have access to more advanced analytics to guide their strategies.
Data makes clear that more home runs are hit when the air is hot and muggy.
It’s no secret that weather can alter the flight of a baseball. The effect of wind is fairly obvious — a wind blowing out of the park gives flyballs an extra push, while a wind blowing in can turn a would-be home run into a . Understanding the effects of temperature and humidity requires a simple lesson in meteorology: Warm and humid air is less dense than cool and dry air, so baseballs tend to fly farther as the temperature and humidity climb.For every 1 degree Celsius increase in temperature, the number of home runs in a game increases by 1.96 percent, according to apublished in April that analyzed home run and weather data from more than 100,000 MLB games between 1962 and 2019.
So far in 2023, the average distance of barreled flyballs increased from 385.5 feet in April and May to 387.3 feet in June and early July, while the average home runs per game climbed from 2.30 in April and May to 2.34 in June and early July.Predicting how the weather will affect home runs is the focus of a website developed by former NASA meteorologist Paul Dorian. It is one of a growing number of weather analytics aimed at giving sports bettors and fantasy players an edge.
A variety of analytics provide insights into weather’s effect on baseball. For example, the baseball statistics website
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