'The question of what (Putin) will do if things go very wrong for Russia in Ukraine may soon be centre-stage'
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Friday makes his first visit to close ally Canada, where he is guaranteed a warmer welcome than he received from some - ReutersSaltWire's Atlantic regional weather forecast for September 25, 2023 | SaltWireIt’s nothing like the great breakthroughs of the mid-twentieth century wars, when combined air and ground forces would tear a hole in the enemy line, the tanks would pour through, and the front would roll back several hundred kilometres before it...
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy attends a news conference during the European leaders summit in Brussels, Belgium, Feb. 9, 2023. — Johanna Geron / ReutersBut the Ukrainians will now be able to advance faster – a few kilometres a week, perhaps – until the rasputitsa arrives some time next month and stops all off-road movement for vehicles until the winter freeze-up.
At that point, perhaps before the end of this year, around half of the Russian troops in Ukraine would be more or less cut off, on half-rations for supplies and ammunition at best. This is by no means certain to happen, but it is a realistic possibility.Russian generals will be aware of this danger, but although Russia has more than three times Ukraine’s population, its troops in Ukraine barely outnumber the Ukrainian defenders and they are close to exhaustion.
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