Forecast models indicate the low-pressure system could pass through the NSW coast, bringing with it heavy rain tomorrow and Wednesday.
Help keep family & friends informed by sharing this articleThe first east coast low of the year could be forming off New South Wales, with the potential to bring more than 100 millimetres of rain to parts of the state.This one, if it materialises, is not expected to be severeForecast models first identified the low-pressure system would form in the Tasman Sea on Tuesday, but be far enough offshore not to meet ECL criteria.
However, the latest indicators are predicting it could pass just close enough to the NSW coast to impact communities, with heavy rain expected tomorrow and Wednesday. ECLs are responsible for the majority of flood events along the state's coast and were behind several of the weather disasters which struck last year.The peak of this event should occur late Tuesday and early Wednesday, with the most intense rain occurring south of the low's centre across the Mid North Coast, Hunter, and, possibly Sydney.The coastal fringe could see more than 100mm of rain, possibly generating brief periods of flash flooding.
The ECL will move away from the coast fairly quickly on Wednesday, keeping the worst impacts relatively short-lived and therefore preventing widespread flooding and wind damage. The most notorious ECLs can linger near the coast for days and produce more than half a metre of rain, destructive winds, and severe coastal erosion.
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