The battle at the top of the table is unusually tight, but the idea that ‘anyone can beat anyone’ remains a fantasy
on Saturday, Jorginho was effusive in his praise of the English top flight. “That’s the Premier League,” he said. “That’s why it’s the best league in the world. It’s beautiful.” The Italy midfielder is not the first player or pundit to make such a claim and he will not be the last. The Premier League sells this narrative to its ever-increasing global audience and it is, by some margin, the world’s richest league, withprides itself on being the most competitive of the leading European leagues.
Having a trio of realistic challengers has become a rarity. In 10 of the last 11 seasons, the points gap between the teams in first and third has reached double figures. The exception was in 2013-14, when championsand third-placed Chelsea were separated by just four points. That season was an outlier. In the last 11 seasons, the average gap between the champions and the side in third has been 17 points; in the previous 19 seasons the gap was just 11 points.
Manchester United dominated the Premier League in the 1990s but they never racked up 100 points or goals.Changes in goal difference also show how dominant the top sides have become. In the first 10 years of the Premier League, the average goal difference of the champions was +45. Over the next nine seasons, that average went up to +51. In the last 11 years, it has shot up to +57.
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