EU’s meteorological agency warns La Niña weather pattern makes cold, still and dry snap more likely
Europe is likely to experience a colder, drier and less windy early winter, according to forecasting models compiled by the EU’s meteorological agency, as the UK energy regulator warned there is a “significant risk” of gas shortages this winter.
Carlo Buontempo, the ECMWF’s director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service, said: “La Niña tends to cause disruption to westerly winds, creating high pressure over Europe, which is what the models are showing for the beginning of winter.“In these conditions, there is a chance of easterly winds leading to lower than usual temperatures. There is a higher than usual chance of having a cold outbreak at the beginning of winter.
In a letter first reported by the Times, the watchdog said that “due to the war in Ukraine and gas shortages in Europe, there is a significant risk that gas shortages could occur during the winter 2022-23 in Great Britain. As a result it is a possibility that GB could enter into a gas supply emergency.”
In a request to modify existing rules, the energy producer SSE highlighted the large imbalance charges and credit-cover requirements that generators face if they are forced to switch off. Thompson accepted SSE’s request to urgently examine the risks related to rules.
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