Colby Cosh: Nicola Sturgeon finds that Scotland, like Quebec, prefers threatening to secede to actually doing so

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Colby Cosh: Nicola Sturgeon finds that Scotland, like Quebec, prefers threatening to secede to actually doing so
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The Scots, like the Quebecers, had proven less keen on using the weapon of secession than on having it around

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Given these political conditions, you would think Sturgeon, aged just 52 and facing no apparent rival or self-evident successor, was just getting warmed up. But she discovered the inherent challenges of leading a political party that has a concrete, specific paramount goal — secession from the United Kingdom — along with an ideology and practical political responsibilities.

Britain’s exit from the European Union in 2016 gave new life to the cause of independence, but it was much too soon to consider another referendum. After the SNP’s strong 2021 electoral showing, Sturgeon announced that she had an “indisputable mandate” for a hypothetical IndyRef 2.0. Her party renewed the blizzard of white papers and think-tank independence schemes that had preceded the 2014 referendum, and she tried to convince the U.K.

When the court disagreed, having nary the slightest smidgen of a pretext for telling Sturgeon anything else, she declared that the next U.K. general election would be a “de facto” independence referendum. If you’re a little fatigued just reading the word “referendum” over and over again, imagine what Scottish voters feel like. The SNP itself, whose various jobholders know there is nowhere for the party to go but down, showed signs of rejecting Sturgeon’s pushing of the pace on independence.

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