Talks between senior Chinese and US officials in recent weeks have given hope that tension between the world’s two great powers could be easing. In the second of a three-part series on China-US relations, Orange Wang looks at how new and deepening challenges are clouding the future
David Shullman, senior director of the Washington-based think tank Atlantic Council’s Global China Hub, said he was “very pessimistic” about the prospect of a more permanent improvement in relations, given Washington’s switch to a more competitive stance and while Beijing was reluctant to accept the new reality.
Instead, Beijing appeared to regard the maintenance of stable communication channels as conditional on Washington returning to policies of the past. “That’s not going to happen,” he said.Zhu Feng, executive dean of the school of international studies at Nanjing University, said the next US presidential election cycle could add more uncertainties to the Taiwan issue, potentially doing further harm to ties.
“There were times when both sides were in a far more dangerous place than they are now, but they were able to manage reasonably well,” he said. “What everyone thinks is dangerous might not be very dangerous as everyone would be careful.” In his speech to the defence conference, Li accused “some big power” of creating divisive alliances, bullying other nations, spurring an arms race and seeking to contain China with its support for Taiwan.Another possible flashpoint is the South China Sea, where Beijing has territorial disputes with some of its neighbours and the US has stepped up its “freedom of navigation” exercises, often in concert with its allies.
“The South China Sea issue is an important area where China and the US truly need to maintain communication and dialogue,” he said. If that occurred, other issues – such as Taiwan and human rights – would be far more manageable, he said. This has included limiting exports of advanced chips and chip-making equipment from the US and other industrial giants in the Netherlands and Japan.
And Beijing’s ban on the sale of Micron Technology products in China over security concerns has only added to signs of an enduring hi-tech war between the two countries.
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