AUGUST 8 — In this weekend’s six state elections, Selangor has become the battleground for Pakatan Harapan (PH) and Perikatan Nasional (PN). Not only is it the richest...
AUGUST 8 — In this weekend’s six state elections, Selangor has become the battleground for Pakatan Harapan and Perikatan Nasional .
With the reconfiguration of parties after the Sheraton Move of 2020 and the national elections of 2022, PH now has 40 seats , Umno five, PBM two, Warisan one, PN five , Pejuang two and one vacant seat.Military personnel queue up to cast their votes at Kem Tentera Sungai Buloh, August 8, 2023. — Picture by Ahmad Zamzahuri
It is estimated more than 90 per cent of non Malays voted PH. That is why PKR and Amanah won many parliamentary seats although they got only 24 per cent of the Malay votes.recently, PN would have won 14 state seats if the results of parliamentary elections were superimposed onto the state seats. Another 14 seats would be won by PH by less than 10 per cent margin. The weekly also said PN received 49 per cent of Malay votes, PH 24 per cent and Umno 23 per cent.
As such, PN will easily win the 14 seats that they could have won based on last year's national elections trend and a big share of the other 14 seats that PH would have won with less than 10 per cent margins.The other actor to consider is the performance of PH in the last three terms. Although there have not been too many scandals, their performance has generally been lacklustre.The Muda factor should also be considered as they attract the same cache of voters as PH.
In fact 51.2 per cent of the voters are 39 years old and below,32.1per cent are 40-59 and 16.7 per cent are 60 and above.Voter turnout will also play a major role in determining the results.I believe it will be less than 70 per cent for this state election.
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