Bank of Canada raises benchmark rate, announces 'conditional pause' on hikes

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Bank of Canada raises benchmark rate, announces 'conditional pause' on hikes
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It was an anticipated move and one that came with a clear signal the central bank is ready to press pause on its aggressive tightening cycle From alicjawithaj

The central bank governor insisted numerous times in a press conference it is too early to discuss a timeline for cutting ratesThe Bank of Canada hiked its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday.

“If economic developments evolve broadly in line with the [Monetary Policy Report] outlook, Governing Council expects to hold the policy rate at its current level while it assesses the impact of the cumulative interest rate increases,” the Bank of Canada said in a press release. The Bank of Canada said in its quarterly Monetary Policy Report released on Wednesday that it expects economic growth to stall through the middle of 2023, something it says will allow supply to catch up with demand. The bank said GDP growth will slow to 1 per cent in 2023. It expects the Consumer Price Index to decline significantly this year as the interest rate hikes take hold, falling to around 3 per cent in the middle of 2023 and reaching the Bank's 2 per cent target in 2024.

"We expect developments in the Canadian economy to be weaker than the Bank currently does," Desjardins' senior director of Canadian economics Randall Bartlett wrote in a note to clients. "We continue to [expect] that the Bank is underestimating how quickly core prices will decline, with our forecasts still pointing to a drop in headline inflation to 2 per cent by the second half of this year," Brown wrote in a note to clients.

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