Observers believe former United States president Donald Trump, who's contesting the presidential election again, has boosted his chances of winning after how he reacted to an assassination attempt.
Observers believe former United States president Donald Trump , who's contesting the presidential election again, has boosted his chances of winning after how he reacted to an assassination attempt.
Data points such as ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute’s 2024 State of Southeast Asia Survey show that many Southeast Asian countries “remain anxious about a rising and more assertive China and want to see strong US regional leadership and engagement in Southeast Asia”, said the institute’s senior fellow Lee Sue-Ann.
Trump surrounded by Secret Service agents after he was shot at a campaign rally on Jul 13, 2024, in Pennsylvania. In the 2020 election, Mr Biden won with 306 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 232. Mr Biden received 51.3 per cent of the popular vote, ahead of his rival's 46.8 per cent. Trump himself has spoken about “retribution” if he wins again. News outlets have reported on his allies’ plans to fill the White House and government agencies with lawyers who would not challenge the expansion of presidential power, among other things.
“He thinks about dealing with China in a way that is very transactional, that is more, ‘I don’t need other countries to help me compete with or counter China. I know America’s great and America can do that on its own, and it doesn’t need to help other countries to accomplish that objective’,” said Dr Aries Arugay, a visiting senior fellow at ISEAS.
These surpluses raise the possibility of Trump slapping tariffs on Vietnamese or Thai products, or the US making the two countries sign an agreement pledging to ramp up imports from the US, said Dr Pitakdumrongkit.
“But it turns out, it’s the same thing, it’s business as usual. Yes, we do have cooperation on a lot of issues. But on some other issues, we’re still lacking close cooperation.” Israel’s war in Gaza could also limit how far some Southeast Asian countries can go in further cooperation with the US, said Ms Lee.
Southeast Asia also has to face some “hard truths about US leadership in the region” regardless of who is president, said Ms Lee.is here to stay, and its strategic competition with China will only intensify and will move into new domains and critical sectors, she noted. Dr Shafiah said ASEAN should find ways to make itself more “relevant to the major powers’ interests”.
The ASEAN-Japan Commemorative Summit Meeting in Tokyo in Dec 2023. The regional bloc should find ways to make itself more “relevant to the major powers’ interests”, says an analyst.
ASEAN United States US Election US-China Donald Trump Joe Biden
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