In its final projection, MainStResearch predicts François Legault’s Coalition Avenir Québec will win a walloping majority with 105 seats, and the Quebec Liberal Party will be the runner-up with 13.
In its final projection, Mainstreet Research predicts François Legault’s Coalition Avenir Québec will win a walloping majority with 105 seats.Coalition Avenir Quebec Leader François Legault gives thumbs up during an election campaign stop at a market in Magog, Que., Sunday, October 2, 2022. Quebecers will go to the polls on Monday.
Quebec elections are usually fairly predictable for most Canadian observers. Traditionally, you have two groups of voters in Quebec: the federalist and the nationalist forces. Federal Liberals and Conservatives usually get behind the Quebec Liberal Party and Bloc Québécois supporters get behind the Parti Québécois; it was always thus in our lifetimes.
With the exception of the 1989 election that saw four English rights members elected as a protest vote, the last election and this current one have been unprecedented. The rise of two parties, Coalition Avenir Québec and Québec solidaire just before the 2018 campaign was a new dynamic, not bound by the usual nationalist/federalist narrative.
As the leader of the CAQ, François Legault has gone on to be one of the most popular premiers of our time; his approval ratings over the past four years and throughout the 2022 campaign have been at or near the highest of all Canadian premiers.
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